980
FXUS66 KLOX 081825
AFDLOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1125 AM PDT Mon Jun 8 2026

.SYNOPSIS...07/952 PM.

A warming trend will begin today as high pressure starts to nudge
into the area from the west. Desert areas will reach triple digit
temperatures by mid week. Night and morning low clouds and fog
are still expected across most coast and some coastal valleys
through the week. Skies will clear by afternoon, except some
beaches will remain cloudy most of the day. Gusty Sundowners are
expected in western Santa Barbara County Monday and Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-THU)...08/944 AM.

Today will be the last day of below normal temperatures before
transitioning to a warming pattern through mid-week. The marine
layer is sitting at 2300 feet south of Point Conception with low
clouds as far inland as Ojai and Pasadena. Along the Central Coast
the marine layer is around 1000 feet and is already clearing. For
southern areas, low clouds will take some more time to clear,
keeping beaches cloudy into the early afternoon. Temperatures will
stay cool today, similar to yesterday.

***From previous discussion***

The upper level trough across the PNW responsible for the
relatively cooler weather will begin to break down ahead of an
upper level ridge gradually building in through mid-week.
Widespread warming will initiate today and continue through
Wednesday. Most notable warming will occur across coastal valleys
and interior areas, as coasts will still feel marine influences
due to moderate onshore flow. There is some uncertainty, however,
regarding how much temperatures will increase near the coasts on
Wednesday. Onshore LAX-DAG pressure gradients are projected to
drop rapidly to near neutral by Wednesday morning, which would
limit most if not all marine influences. This would result in a
fairly dramatic increase in temperatures at locations typically
moderated by marine air during this time of year. Warmest coastal
valleys can expect temperatures to reach the mid 90s by Wednesday,
but there remains a low (10 percent) chance for some of the
warmest spots to reach 100 degrees. There is a 20 percent chance
for Heat Advisories on Wednesday across some of the warmer
valleys, namely the southern Salinas, Santa Clarita, and western
San Fernando Valleys.

Wind advisories have been issued for northwest winds across the
Santa Barbara Southwest Coast and through the I-5 Corridor for
Monday night into early Tuesday morning. Slightly stronger
northwest flow Tuesday may prompt more wind advisories, with best
chances along the immediate Central Coasts, southwest Santa
Barbara County (west of HWY 154), and the interior mountains
(especially I-5 Corridor).

.LONG TERM (FRI-MON)...08/127 AM.

Consistent high pressure and generally onshore flow will keep
very similar temperatures from late this week through the weekend.
Temperatures each day will generally be around 5 to 10 degrees
above normal. There is a small chance of temperatures slightly
warmer than forecast at the coast on Thursday, due to briefly
weaker onshore flow. Morning marine layer clouds will continue to
be a fixture of the weather pattern, though clouds may be more
minimal on Thursday with weaker onshore flow. Higher 500 mb
heights will reduce the inland extend of clouds, keeping them
focused over the beaches and coastal plains.

&&

.AVIATION...08/1824Z.

At 1640Z at KLAX, the marine layer was 2700 feet deep. The top of
the inversion was 4400 feet with a maximum temperature of 17 C.

High confidence in VFR TAFs for KPRB, KPMD, and KWJF.

Moderate confidence in remaining TAFs. Timing may be off +/- 2
hours, there is a 30-50% chance of IFR cigs tonight.

KLAX...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of flight category
changes could be +/- 2 hours of current forecast, there is a 25%
chance of IFR cigs tonight. Any east wind component is expect to
be less than 6 kt.

KBUR...Moderate confidence in TAF. Timing of flight cat changes
may be off +/- 3 hours, with a 20% chance of IFR cigs tonight.

&&

.MARINE...08/1203 AM.

For the Outer Waters, moderate to high confidence in current
forecast. High confidence in a combination of Small Craft
Advisory (SCA) level winds and seas through Thursday. Today and
Tuesday, there is a 30-50% chance of Gale force winds over the
southern two outer zones (PZZ-673 and PZZ-676) during the late
afternoon and night period, with the best chances on Monday. SCA
winds are likely to persist through Wednesday night, then
weakening Thursday through Friday.

For the Inner Waters north of Point Sal, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. Through Wednesday, SCA level wind
are expected, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours, with
seas near or above SCA levels. On Thursday and Friday, winds and
seas are expected to remain below SCA levels.

For the Inner Waters south of Point Conception, moderate to high
confidence in current forecast. For a majority of the southern
Inner Waters, high confidence in winds and seas remaining below
SCA levels through Friday. The only exception will be the western
half of the Santa Barbara Channel, where there is a 40-60% chance
of SCA level winds today and Tuesday, mainly in the late
afternoon and evening hours.

&&

.BEACHES...08/1204 AM.

A long period south swell will move through the waters Tuesday
through Thursday, with swell height building to 3 feet nearshore.
Periods will initially be 19 seconds, decreasing to 15 seconds by
Thursday. Surf is forecast to build to 3 to 6 feet with local sets
to 7 feet along south facing shores of Los Angeles and Ventura
Counties. There is a chance of more widespread surf of 4 to 7
feet with larger sets, in which case a high surf advisory will be
needed.

Hazardous surfing and swimming conditions are expected due to the
building surf, along with strong rip currents.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement in effect from Tuesday morning
      through Thursday evening for zones 87-354-362-366. (See LAXCFWLOX).
     Wind Advisory in effect from 5 PM this afternoon to midnight
      PDT tonight for zones 349-351. (See LAXNPWLOX).
     Wind Advisory in effect from 9 PM this evening to 10 AM PDT
      Tuesday for zone 378. (See LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Tuesday for
      zone 645. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Small Craft Advisory in effect from 3 PM this afternoon to 3
      AM PDT Tuesday for zone 650. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Thursday for
      zone 670. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Small Craft Advisory in effect until 8 PM PDT this evening
      for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Gale Warning in effect from 8 PM this evening to 3 AM PDT
      Tuesday for zones 673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Fewkes/Schoenfeld
AVIATION...Velez
MARINE...CC/ZVS
BEACHES...Ciliberti
SYNOPSIS...MW/CC

weather.gov/losangeles

Experimental Graphical Hazardous Weather Outlook at:
https://www.weather.gov/erh/ghwo?wfo=lox

NWS Los Angeles (LOX) Office